The Dynamics of Presidential Popularity in Post-Communist Russia: Cultural Imperative versus Neo-Institutional Choice?
The Dynamics of Presidential Popularity in Post-Communist Russia: Cultural Imperative versus Neo-Institutional Choice?
复制标题
后共产主义俄罗斯总统受欢迎程度的动态：文化势在必行与新制度选择？
DOI：
10.1111/1468-2508.t01-1-00006
复制
发表时间：
2003
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
J. Willerton
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
W. Mishler;J. Willerton
在俄罗斯后苏联的第一个十年里，公众对鲍里斯·叶利钦和弗拉基米尔·普京总统的支持度波动很大。对这些动态的文化解释强调了该国的威权文化以及俄罗斯对强有力和果断领导人的偏好。新制度理论将这种动态归因于政府在满足公民需求和要求方面成功或失败时公民对总统表现的日常评价。本文检验了叶利钦和普京早期（1991-2000）期间俄罗斯总统受欢迎程度的相互竞争的文化和新制度理论。我们开发并评估了一系列俄罗斯总统批准的政治支持模型。尽管我们发现总统受欢迎程度的文化和新制度理论的要素得到了实质性支持，但制度理论在解释叶利钦和普京受欢迎程度的波动方面表现得更好。
Public support for Presidents Boris Yeltsin and Vladimir Putin has fluctuated significantly over Russia's first post-Soviet decade. Cultural explanations for these dynamics emphasize the country's authoritarian culture and Russian preferences for strong and decisive leaders. Neo-institutional theories attribute the dynamics to citizens’ everyday evaluations of presidential performance as the government succeeds or fails in meeting citizens’ needs and demands. This article tests competing cultural and neo-institutional theories of presidential popularity in Russia during the Yeltsin and early Putin years (1991–2000). We develop and estimate a series of political support models of Russian presidential approval. Although we find substantial support for elements of both cultural and neo-institutional theories of presidential popularity, institutional theories perform substantially better in accounting for fluctuations in Yeltsin's and Putin's popularity.