Predicting Thromboembolic and Bleeding Event Risk in Patients with Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation: A Systematic Review.

Predicting Thromboembolic and Bleeding Event Risk in Patients with Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation: A Systematic Review.
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DOI:
10.1055/s-0038-1675400
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发表时间:
2018-12
影响因子:
6.7
通讯作者:
Sanders GD
Sanders GD
中科院分区:
医学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Borre ED;Goode A;Raitz G;Shah B;Lowenstern A;Chatterjee R;Sharan L;Allen LaPointe NM;Yapa R;Davis JK;Lallinger K;Schmidt R;Kosinski A;Al-Khatib SM;Sanders GD

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Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common cardiac arrhythmia that increases the risk of stroke. Medical therapy for decreasing stroke risk involves anticoagulation, which may increase bleeding risk for certain patients. In determining optimal therapy for stroke prevention for patients with AF, clinicians use tools with various clinical, imaging, and patient characteristics to weigh stroke risk against therapy-associated bleeding risk. Review published literature and summarize available risk stratification tools for stroke and bleeding prediction in patients with AF. We searched for English-language studies in PubMed®, Embase®, and the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews published between January 1, 2000, and February 14, 2018. Two reviewers screened citations for studies that examined tools for predicting thromboembolic and bleeding risks in patients with AF. Data regarding study design, patient characteristics, interventions, outcomes, quality and applicability were extracted. 61 studies were relevant to predicting thromboembolic risk and 38 to predicting bleeding risk. Data suggest that CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc, and ABC risk scores have the best evidence predicting thromboembolic risk (moderate strength of evidence for limited prediction ability of each score) and that HAS-BLED has the best evidence for predicting bleeding risk (moderate strength of evidence). Studies were heterogeneous in methodology and populations of interest, setting, interventions, and outcomes analyzed. CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc, and ABC stroke have the best prediction for stroke events, and HAS-BLED provides the best prediction for bleeding risk. Future studies should define the role of imaging tools and biomarkers in enhancing the accuracy of risk prediction tools. Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute (PROSPERO #CRD42017069999)
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