The Power of Place? Testing the Geographic Determinants of African‐American and White Voter Turnout*

The Power of Place? Testing the Geographic Determinants of African‐American and White Voter Turnout*
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地方的力量?测试非裔美国人和白人选民投票率的地理决定因素*

DOI:
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发表时间:
2019
影响因子:
1.9
通讯作者:
Eric M. Moore
Eric M. Moore
中科院分区:
法学4区
文献类型:
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作者:
Joshua N. Zingher;Eric M. Moore

文献摘要

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目的:本文评估了总统选举中白色和非洲裔美国人投票率的地理决定因素。我们认为,由非洲裔美国人构成的威胁的看法影响白色投票率,虽然跨种族接触的可能性可以改善这些态度。相反,我们认为,同种族人口的规模和种族隔离导致非裔美国人投票率的变化。方法:我们利用ArcGIS制图软件结合路易斯安那州的人口普查和投票率数据。我们使用一系列分层线性回归来检验我们的假设。结果:我们发现,非裔美国人的投票率是最高的非裔美国人占多数和隔离水平低的教区。在种族隔离、以白色为主的选区,白色选民的投票率最高。结论:我们得出结论,不同的人口因素驱动变化白色和非洲裔美国人的投票率。
Objective: This paper evaluates the geographic determinants of both white and African American voter turnout in presidential elections. We argue that perceptions of threat posed by African Americans influences white turnout, although the possibility of interracial contact can ameliorate these attitudes. Conversely, we contend the size of the co-ethnic population and segregation drives variations in African American turnout. Method: We utilize ArcGIS mapping software in conjunction with Census and turnout data from the state of Louisiana. We test our hypotheses using a series of hierarchical linear regressions. Results: We find that African American turnout is highest in parishes where African Americans represent a majority and segregation levels are low. White turnout is highest among whites in racially segregated, predominately white precincts. Conclusion: We conclude that different demographic factors drive variations white and African American turnout.