Prognostic prediction and treatment strategy in hepatocellular carcinoma
Prognostic prediction and treatment strategy in hepatocellular carcinoma
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DOI:
10.1053/jhep.2002.32089
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发表时间:
2002-03-01
期刊:
影响因子:
13.5
通讯作者:
Llovet, JM
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Bruix, J;Llovet, JM
Liver cancer is the fifth most common cancer in the world (564,000 cases/year) and the third cause of cancer-related death. 2 This statistic reflects the long-term consequences of chronic HCV infection and an increased capability to diagnose the disease. Cirrhosis, mainly caused by hepatitis B and C viruses, constitutes the main risk factor for HCC, with the 5-year cumulative incidence ranging between 15% to 20%. 3 Cirrhotic men with increased-fetoprotein concentration bear the highest risk. Antiviral treatment with interferon alone or associated with ribavirin may eradicate viral infection and prevent progression to cirrhosis. However, there is no evidence to support its preventive effect once cirrhosis is established. 4Surveillance is the sole strategy to potentially decrease tumorrelated mortality because it may detect HCC at an early stage, when curative therapies can be applied. 4 There are no randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing surveillance with no surveillance. Cohort studies and cost-efficiency modeling support its benefits in well-defined candidates. Surveillance should be restricted to cirrhotics who would merit effective treatment if diagnosed with HCC. This discards advanced cirrhotic patients (Child-Pugh class C) and those with severe associated conditions. Child-Pugh class C patients should be considered for liver transplantation (LT). If this is not available or the patients are not candidates for this option, surveillance is not cost effective. 3 Data on tumor volume doubling time provide the rationale for the current recommended surveillance policy: ultrasound (US) and-fetoprotein determination every 6 months. 3 By applying this policy, 40% to 80% of HCCs detected are solitary, but only half of them are radically treated. 5, 6 Diagnostic confirmation is a key aspect prior to treatment indication. For years, this was based on cyto-histology, but reliable noninvasive criteria for cirrhotic patients have been recently devel-