A modular approach to Integrated Assessment modeling

A modular approach to Integrated Assessment modeling
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综合评估建模的模块化方法

DOI:
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发表时间:
2005
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
C. Jaeger
C. Jaeger
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
Marian Leimbach;C. Jaeger

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在本文中,我们提出了一种新的方法,模型耦合,可能形成新一代的综合评估模型的方法论基础。这一方法尊重现有模式所体现的知识和专长,并鼓励其逐步发展。模块化是指导原则。我们的方法的区别是模块耦合的方式,这是基于一个相互作用的作业控制模块,一个数值耦合模块,和一对夫妇的独立的功能模块。数值耦合模块-核心组件-用于处理功能模块之间的反馈。第一个实现的例子,耦合的经济和气候模块的两个阶段的元优化的装置在这里。算法和后面的数学结构进行了讨论,以及重要的功能,如收敛行为和可靠性。
In this paper, we present a new approach to model coupling that probably forms the methodological basis of a new generation of Integrated Assessment models. This approach respects the knowledge and expertise that is embodied in existing models and encourages their gradual evolution. Modularity is the guiding principle. Our approach is distinguished by the way modules are coupled which is based on an interplay of a job control module, a numerical coupling module, and a couple of stand-alone functional modules. The numerical coupling module - the core component - serves to treat the feedbacks between the functional modules. A first implemented example that couples an economic and a climate module by means of a two-phase meta-optimization is presented here. The algorithm and mathematical structure behind are discussed as well as important features such as convergence behavior and reliability.