When Work Disappears: Manufacturing Decline and the Falling Marriage Market Value of Young Men
When Work Disappears: Manufacturing Decline and the Falling Marriage Market Value of Young Men
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DOI：
10.1257/aeri.20180010
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发表时间：
2019-09-01
影响因子：
8.5
通讯作者：
Hanson, Gordon
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Autor, David;Dorn, David;Hanson, Gordon
我们利用国际制造业竞争加剧所产生的大规模劳动力需求冲击的性别组成部分来测试1990-2014年期间年轻男性相对于年轻女性的相对经济地位的变化如何影响婚姻，生育率和儿童的生活环境。平均而言，贸易冲击不同程度地减少了年轻成年男子的就业和收入。与贝克尔的家庭专业化模型一致，男性相对收入的冲击会减少婚姻和生育率。与著名的社会学解释一致，这些冲击加剧了男性的懒惰和过早死亡，增加了未婚母亲的比例和生活在贫困以下的单亲家庭中的儿童比例。
We exploit the gender-specific components of large-scale labor demand shocks stemming from rising international manufacturing competition to test how shifts in the relative economic stature of young men versus young women affected marriage, fertility, and children's living circumstances during 1990-2014. On average, trade shocks differentially reduce employment and earnings of young adult males. Consistent with Becker's model of household specialization, shocks to males' relative earnings reduce marriage and fertility. Consistent with prominent sociological accounts, these shocks heighten male idleness and premature mortality, and raise the share of mothers who are unwed and the share of children living in below-poverty, single-headed households.