The Non-Random Nature of Terrorism: An Exploration of Where and How Global Trends of Terrorism Have Developed Over 40 Years
The Non-Random Nature of Terrorism: An Exploration of Where and How Global Trends of Terrorism Have Developed Over 40 Years
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DOI：
10.1080/1057610x.2016.1159070
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发表时间：
2016-01-01
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Vaux, Alan
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Kluch, Sofia Pinero;Vaux, Alan
我们使用全球恐怖主义数据库(GTD)研究了恐怖主义在地理上的集中度和持久性。GTD使用开源媒体记录全球所有恐怖事件，1970-2013年包括来自200多个国家和地区的125,000多起事件。我们审查了区域和国家一级的数据；不同的恐怖主义形式、严重程度和时间框架(整个时期、五年时期和年度)；以及对恐怖主义抬头的多种定义。调查结果显示，恐怖主义在地理上和时间上都是集中的。大多数国家经历了和平或极低程度的恐怖主义；只有少数国家经历了大规模爆发；极少数国家经历了长期的恐怖主义；更少的国家经历了长期的严重恐怖主义。
We examined the geographic concentration and persistence of terrorism using the Global Terrorism Database (GTD). The GTD logs all terrorist incidents worldwide using open-source media, and, for 1970-2013, includes over 125,000 incidents from over 200 countries and territories. We examined regional and country-level data; different terrorism forms, severity levels, and timeframes (entire period, five-year periods, and annual); and multiple definitions of elevated terrorism. The findings reveal that terrorism is concentrated geographically and temporally. Most countries experience peace or very low levels of terrorism; only a few experience substantial outbreaks; very few experience prolonged terrorism; and even fewer, prolonged severe terrorism.