Immigration and Inter-Regional Mobility in the UK, 1982-2000
Immigration and Inter-Regional Mobility in the UK, 1982-2000
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英国的移民和跨地区流动，1982-2000 年
DOI：
10.1111/j.1468-0297.2005.01039.x
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发表时间：
2003
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
M. Tani
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
T. Hatton;M. Tani
移民增加可能带来的影响，增加失业率，降低当地人的收入，一直是一个有争议的经验问题，最近在英国成为焦点。大多数对当地劳动力市场（主要是美国，但最近对英国）的研究发现，移民的影响是良性的。一种可能性是，移民从国外涌入特定地区只是将非移民推向其他地区，从而将劳动力市场的影响传播到整个经济。我们调查了20年来英国11个地区的净内部移民情况。虽然我们发现了持续的负面挤出效应，但结果在统计上并不是很强。如果将其嵌入一个包含其他驱动区域间移徙的变量或一个考察区域间双边人口流动的模型，也不会增强这些数据。我们的结论是，这种特殊的调整渠道相当薄弱。
The possible effects of higher immigration, raising unemployment and lowering earnings for locals, has been a contentious empirical issue and it has recently come to the fore in Britain. Most studies that look across local labour markets, chiefly for the US but recently for the UK, have found the effects of immigration to be benign. One possibility is that an influx of immigrants from abroad to a specific area simply pushes non-immigrants onwards to other localities and thereby spreads the labour market effects over the whole economy. We investigate this issue looking at net internal migration across 11 UK regions over two decades. While we find consistently negative crowding out effects, the results are not statistically very strong. Neither are they enhanced when embedded in a model that includes other variables that drive inter-regional migration or one that examines bilateral population flows between regions. We conclude that this particular channel of adjustment is fairly weak.