A Decision Support System for Addressing Food Security in the United Kingdom
A Decision Support System for Addressing Food Security in the United Kingdom
复制标题
解决英国粮食安全问题的决策支持系统
DOI：
10.1111/rssa.12771
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发表时间：
2022
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Barons M
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Barons M
本文介绍了一个集成的决策支持系统（IDSS）在英国的粮食安全。在越来越大的动态系统中，如粮食系统，决策者（DM）越来越难以有效地考虑到系统内的所有变量，这些变量可能会影响各种候选政策颁布的利益结果。每一个影响变量本身都可能是由复杂的概率模型支持的专家领域的动态子系统。联合王国最近粮食贫困的增加提出了以下问题：粮食不安全的主要驱动因素，这种情况如何随着时间的推移而变化，以及如何利用证据评估政策以支持决策。在这方面，建议为家庭粮食安全建立一个IDSS，使模式管理员能够比较可能影响家庭一级粮食不安全结果的若干备选政策。
This paper presents an integrating decision support system (IDSS) for food security in the United Kingdom. In ever-larger dynamic systems, such as the food system, it is increasingly difficult for decision makers (DMs) to effectively account for all the variables within the system that may influence the outcomes of interest under enactments of various candidate policies. Each of the influencing variables is likely, themselves, to be dynamic subsystems with expert domains supported by sophisticated probabilistic models. Recent increases in food poverty in the United Kingdom have raised the questions about the main drivers of food insecurity, how this may be changing over time and how evidence can be used in evaluating policy for decision support. In this context, an IDSS is proposed for household food security to allow DMs to compare several candidate policies which may affect the outcome of food insecurity at the household level.