Seismicity gap near Oaxaca, southern Mexico as a probable precursor to a large earthquake

Seismicity gap near Oaxaca, southern Mexico as a probable precursor to a large earthquake
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墨西哥南部瓦哈卡附近的地震活动间隙可能是大地震的前兆

DOI:
10.1007/978-3-0348-5745-1_23
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发表时间:
1977
影响因子:
2
通讯作者:
G. Latham
G. Latham
中科院分区:
地球科学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
M. Ohtake;T. Matumoto;G. Latham

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SummaryAn area of significant seismic quiescence is found near Oaxaca, southern Mexico. The anomalous area may be the site of a future large earthquake as many cases so far reported were. This conjecture is justified by study of past seismicity changes in the Oaxaca region. An interval of reduced seismicity, followed by a renewal of activity, preceded both the recent large events of 1965 and 1968. Those past earthquakes have ruptured the eastern and western portions of the present seismicity gap, respectively, so that the central part remaining is considered to be of the highest risk of the pending earthquake.The most probable estimates are: 7 1/2±1/4 for the magnitude and ϕ=16.5°±0.5°N, λ=96.5°±0.5W for the epicenter location. A firm prediction of the occurrence time is not attempted. However, a resumption of seismic activity in the Oaxaca region may precede a main shock.
DOI: 10.1029/jb078i014p02547
发表时间: 1973-01-01
影响因子: --
作者:
KELLEHER, J;SYKES, L;OLIVER, J
通讯作者: OLIVER, J