Temporary employment: Chance or risk?
Temporary employment: Chance or risk?
复制标题
DOI：
10.1093/esr/19.2.161
复制
发表时间：
2003-04-01
影响因子：
3.2
通讯作者：
Gross, M
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Giesecke, J;Gross, M
本文调查了劳动力市场灵活性的增加是否会导致劳动力市场现有分割的加强或劳动力市场障碍的拆除。利用德国社会经济研究小组（GSOEP，时间段：1984-1999）的短期数据（就业和失业时期），在随机效应逻辑模型的帮助下，研究了临时就业的决定因素及其后果（例如，更新的临时就业，失业）。结果表明，受访者的特征（人力资本的数量和类型，以前的失业时期），结构变量（行业，企业规模）和职业特征（职位，边际就业）影响找到临时工作的风险。此外，研究表明，定期合同增加了找到另一份临时工作或在合同终止后失业的风险。这些结果表明，定期合同主要是二级劳动力市场的一部分，它们对这部分的雇员产生了负面影响。与此同时，定期合同可被视为提供机会，因为它们至少是失业的另一种选择。因此，要避免对临时雇用进行过分简单化的评价。
The paper investigates whether increased labour-market flexibility leads to a reinforcement of the existing segmentation of the labour market or to a dismantling of barriers in the labour market. Using spell data (employment and unemployment periods) from the German Socio-economic Panel (GSOEP, time period: 1984-1999), both determinants of temporary employment and their consequences (e.g. renewed temporary employment, unemployment) are investigated with the help of random-effects logit-models. The results show that respondents' characteristics (amount and type of human capital, previous periods of unemployment), structural variables (industry, firm size), and occupational characteristics (position, marginal employment) influence the risk of finding a temporary job. Furthermore it is shown that fixed-term contracts increase the risk of finding another temporary job or of becoming unemployed after termination of the contract. These results show that fixed-term contracts are primarily part of the secondary labour market, and that they have negative consequences for the employees in this segment. At the same time fixed-term contracts can be seen as providing opportunities in that they are at least an alternative to unemployment. Therefore, an overly simplistic evaluation of temporary employment is to be avoided.