Driving forces behind the Chinese public's demand for improved environmental safety
Driving forces behind the Chinese public's demand for improved environmental safety
复制标题
中国公众改善环境安全需求的驱动力
DOI：
10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.06.086
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发表时间：
2017-12-15
影响因子：
9.8
通讯作者：
Bi, Jun
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Wen, Ting;Wang, Jigan;Bi, Jun
在过去的几十年里，中国公众对改善环境安全的需求不断增加。本研究旨在利用省级和多年（1995年，2000年，2005年，2010年和2014年）面板数据和人口，富裕和技术回归的随机影响（STIRPAT）模型评估公众对改善环境安全需求增加背后的驱动力。调查的潜在驱动力包括人口规模、收入水平、城市化程度和教育水平。结果表明，人口规模和受教育程度与公众改善环境安全的需求呈正相关（P < 0.01）。城市化程度对需求没有重大影响。对于收入水平的影响，呈现出一个倒U型曲线效应，转折点与人均GDP 14万CNY相似。由于2015年中国人均GDP约为5万CNY，远未达到转折点，公众对改善环境安全的需求将在不久的将来继续上升。为了满足公众对改善环境安全的日益增长的需求，应建立积极主动的、以风险预防为基础的环境管理体系，并辅之以有效的环境风险沟通。(C)2017爱思唯尔B.V.保留所有权利。
Over the past decades, the public demand for improved environmental safety keeps increasing in China. This study aims to assess the driving forces behind the increasing public demand for improved environmental safety using a provincial and multi-year (1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, and 2014) panel data and the Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence, and Technology (STIRPAT) model. The potential driving forces investigated included population size, income levels, degrees of urbanization, and educational levels. Results show that population size and educational level are positively (P < 0.01) associated with public demand for improved environmental safety. No significant impact on demand was found due to the degree of urbanization. For the impact due to income level, an inverted U-shaped curve effect with the turning point of similar to 140,000 CNY GDP per capita is indicated. Since per capita GDP of 2015 in China was approximately 50,000 CNY and far from the turning point, the public demand for improved environmental safety will continue rising in the near future. To meet the increasing public demand for improved environmental safety, proactive and risk prevention based environmental management systems coupled with effective environmental risk communication should be established. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.