On the linkage between electoral volatility and party system instability in Central and Eastern Europe
On the linkage between electoral volatility and party system instability in Central and Eastern Europe
复制标题
中东欧选举波动与政党制度不稳定之间的联系
DOI：
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发表时间：
2008
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Margit Tavits
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Margit Tavits
抽象的。 选举波动被认为是政党制度不稳定的先兆，甚至是其指标。这种假设对于潜在的精英与大众选举联系以及年轻民主国家政党制度稳定的前景具有重大影响。本文表明，选举波动是政党供给变化的结果，而不是导致的结果。因此，精英的选择可能比选民的不稳定行为对政党制度发展早期的不稳定负有更大的责任。
Abstract. Electoral volatility is assumed to be a precursor to, or even an indicator of, party system instability. Such an assumption has strong implications for the underlying elite–mass electoral linkage and for the prospects of party system stabilisation in young democracies. This article demonstrates that electoral volatility follows from, rather than leads to, changes in the supply of parties. Thus, the choices of elites may be more responsible for instability in the early stages of party system development than the erratic behaviour of voters.