Is rationality or herd more conducive to promoting farmers to protect wetlands? A hybrid interactive simulation
Is rationality or herd more conducive to promoting farmers to protect wetlands? A hybrid interactive simulation
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DOI：
10.1016/j.habitatint.2022.102647
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发表时间：
2022-10
影响因子：
6.8
通讯作者：
Han Wang;Limin Qiu;Zhoupeng Chen;Fengqin Li;Peng Jiang;A. Zhang;Xin Nie
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Han Wang;Limin Qiu;Zhoupeng Chen;Fengqin Li;Peng Jiang;A. Zhang;Xin Nie
在中国“关系”的文化背景下，制定一个能够捕捉农民面临湿地保护和生计发展之间冲突的复杂性和适应性的框架尤其具有挑战性。为了揭示土地变化的驱动力，了解农民行为的动态变化过程，本文将基于agent的模型（ABM）与田间实验方法相结合，建立了湿地保护行为的混合模拟实验模型。通过对广西山口红树林生态自然保护区周边农户的实地调查和问卷调查，从不同角度评估了不同类型农户采取湿地保护行为的意愿，构建了理性选择理论框架和ABM代理行为规则。结果表明，5年后，在有限自利假设下，农户湿地保护行为的采用率达到100%，而在有限理性假设下，采用率仅为80%左右。这证实了牧群更有利于促进农民的湿地保护行为。决策者应考虑有限理性和有限自利互动的重要性，培养农民对湿地的归属感和责任感，引导农民参与湿地的生态保护和可持续利用。
Within the cultural context of “guanxi” in China, it is particularly challenging to develop a framework capable to capture the complexity and adaptability of farmers facing conflicts between wetland conservation and livelihood development. In this paper, we integrate agent-based model (ABM) and field experimental methods to develop a hybrid simulation experiment model for wetland conservation behavior, in order to reveal the driving forces of land change and understand the dynamic change process of farmers' behavior. Through a field experiment and a questionnaire survey of farmers around the Shankou Mangrove Ecological Nature Reserve (SMENR) in Guangxi, China, the intention of different types of farmers to adopt wetland conservation behavior was assessed from different angles, constructing a rational choice theory (RCT) framework and ABM proxy behavior rules. The results showed that after 5 years, the adoption rate of farmers' wetland conservation behavior reached 100% under the assumption of bounded self-interest, but only about 80% under bounded rationality. This confirms that herd is more conducive to promoting farmers' wetland conservation behavior. Decision makers should consider the importance of bounded rationality and bounded self-interest interaction, foster farmers' sense of belonging and responsibility toward wetlands, and guide farmers to participate in the ecological protection and sustainable use of wetlands.