Does the Global Warming Pause in the Last Decade: 1999–2008?

Does the Global Warming Pause in the Last Decade: 1999–2008?
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DOI:
10.3724/sp.j.1248.2010.00049
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发表时间:
2010-08
影响因子:
7.4
通讯作者:
Shaowu Wang;X. Wen;Yong Luo;Guoli Tang;Zong-ci Zhao;Jianbin Huang
Shaowu Wang;X. Wen;Yong Luo;Guoli Tang;Zong-ci Zhao;Jianbin Huang
中科院分区:
地球科学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Shaowu Wang;X. Wen;Yong Luo;Guoli Tang;Zong-ci Zhao;Jianbin Huang

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回顾了近十年来与全球变暖暂停有关的问题。报告指出:(1)1999 - 2008年是近30年来全球气温最高的10年,但全球气温增量接近于零;(2)火山活动、太阳辐射、ENSO和温盐环流等自然因素对全球平均气温的年际和年代际变化都有影响。(3)1999 ~ 2008年中国气温持续升高,平均每10年增加0.4 ~ 0.5°C。
Issues related to the pause of global warming in the last decade are reviewed. It is indicated that: (1) The decade of 19992008 is still the warmest of the last 30 years, though the global temperature increment is near zero; (2) Natural factors such as volcanism, solar radiation, ENSO, and thermohaline circulation can have impact on the inter-annual and inter-decadal variability of global mean temperatures. However, it will not mask the global warming trend for a long time; (3) Temperatures of China continue to increase in 19992008 with an increment of 0.40.5°C per 10 years.