Impact of Termination of Universal Primary Education on Lifelong Fertility and Child Educational Quality: Evidence From Kenya
Impact of Termination of Universal Primary Education on Lifelong Fertility and Child Educational Quality: Evidence From Kenya
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DOI：
10.2139/ssrn.3718156
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发表时间：
2020-10
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Ayako Wakano;Hiroyuki Yamada
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Ayako Wakano;Hiroyuki Yamada
本文着重于1988年肯尼亚共和国终止普及初等教育（UPE）的长期影响。我们利用这一突然的变化作为一个政策实验，以调查女性的教育程度是否会影响总生育率，并导致改善教育成果，为他们的孩子。肯尼亚共和国于1974年开始普及初等教育，1988年结束。我们应用模糊回归不连续设计，以评估女性教育的影响，在阈值。普及初等教育的终止立即使女性受教育的时间平均缩短了1.3年。我们发现，每增加一年教育，每个妇女26岁时的平均子女数就会减少0.27个，37岁时的平均子女数就会减少0.44个。此外，额外的母亲教育可使其子女在6岁和7岁时不上学的可能性降低20%。我们研究了三种可能的途径：女性劳动力的结果，避孕和自愿交配。额外的教育大大提高了对避孕和预防性传播疾病措施的认识。此外，受教育程度较高的女性倾向于与受教育程度较高的伴侣匹配，这表明了自愿交配，而女性劳动成果渠道似乎是沉默的。
This paper focuses on the long-term impacts of the termination of universal primary education (UPE) in the Republic of Kenya in 1988. We exploit this sudden change as a policy experiment to investigate whether female educational attainment affects total fertility and leads to improved educational outcomes for their children. In the Republic of Kenya, UPE was introduced in 1974 and terminated in 1988. We apply a fuzzy regression discontinuity design to assess the effect on female education at the threshold. The termination of UPE immediately reduced the length of female education by an average of 1.3 years. We find that each additional year of education reduced the average number of children per woman by 0.27 by the age of 26 and by 0.44 by the age of 37. Furthermore, additional maternal education reduces the likelihood of their children not being enrolled in school at the ages of 6 and 7 years by 20 percent. We examine three possible pathways: female labor outcomes, contraception, and assortative mating. Additional schooling significantly enhances knowledge of contraception and preventive measures against sexually transmitted diseases. Also, women with longer education tended to match with more educated partners, indicative of assortative mating, whereas the female labor outcomes channel seemed to be silent.