An Empirical Analysis of the Role of China's Exports on CO2 Emissions
An Empirical Analysis of the Role of China's Exports on CO2 Emissions
复制标题
DOI：
10.1016/j.apenergy.2012.10.044
复制
发表时间：
2013-04
期刊：
影响因子：
11.2
通讯作者：
Nyakundi M. Michieka;J. Fletcher;Wesley Burnett
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Nyakundi M. Michieka;J. Fletcher;Wesley Burnett
中国是世界上发展最快的国家之一，也是世界上最大的能源消费国。结果，中国的污染排放量从2002年到2007年几乎翻了一番，并在2006年超过美国成为世界上最大的二氧化碳排放国。了解碳排放的来源对于制定中国碳排放控制政策至关重要。中国出口的激增被部分归咎于排放量的增加。为了了解排放的来源，本研究使用向量自回归模型检验了1970-2010年中国出口、CO2排放、煤炭消费和贸易开放度之间的关系。该研究使用了户田和山本[56]开发的格兰杰因果关系的修改版本。研究中的主要发现表明：（1）格兰杰因果关系运行从出口到排放;（2）格兰杰因果关系运行从煤炭消费到出口;（3）国内生产总值决定未来的出口和二氧化碳排放量的变化。结果表明，政府旨在控制煤炭消费的政策可能会影响二氧化碳排放量和出口。这项研究的结果应有助于制定政策，以减少二氧化碳排放和煤炭消费。
China is one of the world’s most rapidly growing countries and the largest consumer of energy in the world. As a result, China’s pollution emissions almost doubled from 2002 to 2007, and in 2006 it surpassed the United States to become the world’s top carbon dioxide emitter. Understanding the sources of emissions is essential towards designing policies aimed at curbing carbon emissions in China. The surge in China’s exports has been partially blamed for this increase in emissions. To understand the sources of emissions, this study uses a vector autoregression model to examine the relationship among exports, CO2emissions, coal consumption and trade openness in China for the years 1970–2010. The study uses a modified version of Granger Causality developed by Toda and Yamamoto [56]. The main findings within the study indicate: (1) Granger Causality running from exports to emissions; (2) Granger Causality running from coal consumption to exports; and (3) GDP determines future variability in exports and CO2emissions. Results suggest that governmental policies aimed at controlling coal consumption could affect CO2emissions and exports. Results from this study should assist in formulating policies to mitigate both CO2emissions and coal consumption.