Risk assessment method of major unsafe hydroelectric project
Risk assessment method of major unsafe hydroelectric project
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DOI：
10.1007/s11431-008-0103-z
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发表时间：
2008-08
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Zhongru Wu;H. Su;Haiqing Guo
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Zhongru Wu;H. Su;Haiqing Guo
本文根据重大不安全水电工程的特点，根据现场检测、现场监测和定期安全检查的资料，提出了运行风险评价的基本原则。同时，构造了一个三层递阶系统，并将遗传算法与层次分析法相结合，建立了一种改进的层次分析法，并编制了相应的程序。运用本文提出的原则、方法和程序对某不安全大坝进行了运行风险评价，指出了影响大坝运行的主要因素。
Based on the characteristics of major unsafe hydroelectric projects and the data from field detection, in situ monitoring, and regular safety inspection, the fundamental principles of operation risk assessment are proposed in this paper. Meanwhile, a three layer hierarchical system is constructed, and an improved analytical hierarchical process combining genetic algorithm and analytical hierarchical process is established, with corresponding program. The operation risk of some unsafe dam was assessed with the principles, method and program presented in this paper and the major factors which would affect the operation of the dam were pointed out.