Streamflow of Russian Rivers under Current and Forecasted Climate Changes: A Review of Publications. 1. Assessment of Changes in the Water Regime of Russian Rivers by Observation Data

Streamflow of Russian Rivers under Current and Forecasted Climate Changes: A Review of Publications. 1. Assessment of Changes in the Water Regime of Russian Rivers by Observation Data
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当前和预测的气候变化下俄罗斯河流的径流:出版物综述。

DOI:
10.1134/s0097807822030046
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发表时间:
2022
期刊:
影响因子:
1
通讯作者:
A. Shevchenko
A. Shevchenko
中科院分区:
环境科学与生态学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
N. Frolova;D. V. Magritskii;M. Kireeva;V. Y. Grigor’ev;A. Gelfan;A. Sazonov;A. Shevchenko

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综述了在当前气候变化条件下俄罗斯河流水情变化的研究成果。Roshydromet评价报告介绍了这些出版物的最新概括。这些基本研究报告的出版,以及随后的许多研究报告,改进了国家报告的结论。本综述的目的是主要根据最新出版物和作者自己的研究,概括有关俄罗斯联邦领土气候变化对年平均和最大河流径流量影响的当前概念。新的地图,由作者开发的,给出的特征的年径流量和最大径流量的变化,包括该系列的固定字符的数据的基础上,到2019年的干扰的日期。相当注意的是对所揭示的变化进行统计分析。俄罗斯领土的年平均径流量在最近几十年中趋于增加,因为该领土的湿润程度增加。然而,大多数分析流域的变化在统计上并不显着。从西伯利亚和远东地区流入北冰洋的河流年平均径流量也略有增加。最大径流量的变化更明显,方向也不同。
Publications on changes in river water regime in Russia under the conditions of current climate changes are reviewed. Most recent generalizations of such publications are presented in Roshydromet evaluation reports. The publication of these basic studies followed by many studies improving the conclusions of national reports. The objective of this review is to generalize the current concepts regarding the effect of climate changes in Russian Federation territory on the mean annual and maximal river runoff, primarily, based on most recent publications and the authors’ own studies. New maps, developed by the authors, are given to characterize variations of the annual and maximal runoff, including the dates of the disturbance of the stationary character of the series based on data up to 2019. Considerable attention is paid to statistical analysis of the revealed changes. The annual runoff on the average for the Russian territory is shown to tend to increase in the recent decades because of an increase in the moistening of the territory. However, the changes in the majority of the analyzed basins are statistically insignificant. The average annual runoff of rivers into the Arctic seas from the territory of Siberia and Far East has also slightly increased. Changes in the maximal runoff are more pronounced and differently directed.