Base-rate respect: From ecological rationality to dual processes
Base-rate respect: From ecological rationality to dual processes
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DOI：
10.1017/s0140525x07001653
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发表时间：
2007-06-01
影响因子：
29.3
通讯作者：
Sloman, Steven A.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Barbey, Aron K.;Sloman, Steven A.
忽视基本利率的现象引起了很多争论。辩论的竞技场之一是人们如何在不确定的条件下做出判断。另一个更具争议的竞技场涉及人类的理性。在这篇目标文章中，我们试图解开这两种问题的文献中的观点，并评估其解释现有数据的能力及其概念的一致性。前面的评估，我们得出结论，最好的帐户的数据应该是框架的双过程模型的判断，属性的基本速率忽略联想判断策略，未能充分代表的集合结构的问题。当问题以一种能提供嵌套的个体集合的准确表示的格式呈现时，基本率忽视会减少。
The phenomenon of base-rate neglect has elicited much debate. One arena of debate concerns how people make judgments under conditions of uncertainty. Another more controversial arena concerns human rationality. In this target article, we attempt to unpack the perspectives in the literature on both kinds of issues and evaluate their ability to explain existing data and their conceptual coherence. Front this evaluation we conclude that the best account of the data should be framed in terms of a dual-process model of judgment, which attributes base-rate neglect to associative judgment strategies that fail to adequately represent the set structure of the problem. Base-rate neglect is reduced when problems are presented in a format that affords accurate representation in terms of nested sets of individuals.