Bounded interpersonal inferences and decision making

Bounded interpersonal inferences and decision making
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有限的人际推理和决策

DOI:
10.1007/s001990100203
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发表时间:
2002
期刊:
影响因子:
1.3
通讯作者:
Nobu
Nobu
中科院分区:
经济学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
M. Kaneko;Nobu

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概括。个人决策基于对其他参与者选择的预测以及对预测反应的评估。从这个意义上说,玩家的决策有一个预测决策标准。我们开发了一种预测决策标准理论,使我们能够捕捉游戏中个人决策的新现象。决策情境在认知逻辑GL中描述 $_{EF}$ 的浅深度。在那里,每个玩家都会深入地考虑自己和其他玩家的决策。我们理论的一个重点是研究人际内省的推理复杂性。特别是,我们可以讨论用于预测决策的最小认知推理结构。我们会在决策和预测中发现并行结构,这称为内部并行性。这篇论文的高潮是对预测决策的内部并行性的考虑。
Summary. Individual decision making is based on predictions about other players' choices as well as on valuations of reactions to predictions. In this sense, a player has a prediction-decision criterion for decision making. We develop a theory of prediction-decision criteria, which enables us to capture new phenomena on individual decision making in games. The decision making situation is described in the epistemic logic GL $_{EF}$ of shallow depths. There, each player considers his and other players' decision making down to some shallow depths. It is a point of our theory to investigate inferential complexities of interpersonal introspections. In particular, we can discuss a minimal epistemic inferential structure for prediction-decision making. We will find parallel structures in decision making and prediction making, which is called an inner parallelism. The climax of the paper is the consideration of inner parallelisms of prediction-decision making.
DOI: --
发表时间: 2007
期刊:
影响因子: --
作者:
M. Kaneko;N. -Y. Suzuki;N. -Y. Suzuki;Nobu-Yuki Suzuki;N. -Y. Suzuki;Nobu-Yuki Suzuki;N. -Y. Suzuki;Nobu-Yuki Suzuki;N. -Y. Suzuki;Nobu-Yuki Suzuki
通讯作者: Nobu-Yuki Suzuki
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