Learning Curve Analysis of Photovoltaic System in Residential Building in Thailand
Learning Curve Analysis of Photovoltaic System in Residential Building in Thailand
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DOI：
10.1016/j.proeng.2012.01.1286
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发表时间：
2012
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
C. Leewiraphan;W. Rakwichien;N. Ketjoy;P. Thanarak
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
C. Leewiraphan;W. Rakwichien;N. Ketjoy;P. Thanarak
本文阐述了泰国住宅光伏系统的成本问题和竞争力。假设在泰国的情况下，光伏发电的电力可以与并网发电竞争。目的是表达过去十年光伏成本降低的潜力，并对不久的将来进行估计。学习曲线模型表明，在泰国的住宅建筑部门安装光伏发电的成本范围。利用该模型可以估算出累积容量和光伏价格的竞争力。泰国的电力消耗情景可以显示电网平价点在十五年内发生。此外，光伏能源的潜力取决于规划效率政策和改善光伏市场选择。从有利的角度来看，光伏发电的情况可以适当的竞争力，本研究的目的之一是提供可靠的信息，随着时间的推移，安装系统的成本由政府计划的政策和发展。
This paper stated with the problem of cost of photovoltaic (PV) system for residential sector in Thailand and competitiveness. It is assumed that the electricity of PV can be competitive with grid-connected in Thailand scenarios. The objective is to express the potential for the PV cost reduction in last ten years and estimate for the near future. The learning curve model presents that PV cost range term of installation in residential building sector in Thailand. Using this model is estimated cumulative capacity and PV price can be competitive term. Electrical consumption of Thailand scenarios can show grid parity point take place in fifteen year. Additionally, potential of PV energy is up to plan the efficiency policy and improve PV market options. In beneficial view, the PV situation can appropriate for competitiveness and one purpose of this study is to provide reliable information about the costs of installed systems over time by the policy and development of government programs.