Having much in common? Changes and continuity in Beijing’s Taiwan policy
Having much in common? Changes and continuity in Beijing’s Taiwan policy
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北京对台政策的变化和延续有何共同点？
DOI：
10.1080/09512748.2020.1773908
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发表时间：
2020
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Q. Xin
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Q. Xin
摘要 自台独民进党赢得2016年台湾大选以来，北京的对台政策出现了一些战略和战术上的调整。本文试图通过解决三个重要问题来阐明北京对台政策的根本变化和连续性。首先，对于北京来说，其对台政策制定的突出关切是什么？第二，“伟大复兴”的首要任务是什么？第三，北京对于处理台北不愿接受统一的方针是什么？本文认为，首先，鉴于台湾倾向于无限期地维持事实上的独立，如何防止台湾事实上的独立永久化已成为北京面临的首要挑战。其次，在“民族复兴”的总体时间表中，北京仍然将实现全面现代化置于实现统一之前。第三，由于台湾反华势力的打击，北京将其促进统一的方针从“寄希望于台湾人”转变为“更多地寄希望于大陆本身”。
Abstract Since the pro-independence Democratic Progressive Party won the 2016 election in Taiwan, Beijing’s Taiwan policies have witnessed some strategic and tactical adjustments. This article attempts to clarify the underlying changes and continuity in Beijing’s Taiwan policy by addressing three vital questions. First, for Beijing, what is the prominent concern for its Taiwan policy making? Second, what is the top priority for its ‘great rejuvenation’ ambition? And third, what is Beijing’s guideline for dealing with Taipei’s reluctance to accept reunification? This paper argues that, firstly, how to prevent Taiwan’s de facto independence from perpetuating has become the primary challenge for Beijing, given Taiwan’s inclination to indefinitely maintain de facto independence. Second, Beijing still prioritizes the achievement of comprehensive modernization before the fulfillment of reunification within its overarching ‘national rejuvenation’ timetable. Third, discouraged by Taiwan’s anti-China dynamics, Beijing has switched its guideline for promoting unification from ‘placing hope on the Taiwanese’ to ‘placing more hope on the mainland itself’.