Identifying and predicting offending trajectories among poor children
Identifying and predicting offending trajectories among poor children
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DOI：
10.1086/342999
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发表时间：
2002-12-01
影响因子：
2
通讯作者：
Nagin, DS
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Chung, IJ;Hawkins, JD;Nagin, DS
利用来自西雅图社会发展项目的数据，我们确定了贫困儿童犯罪轨迹的童年预测因素。五个轨迹确定：nonoffenders，晚发病，desisters，自动扶梯，和慢性罪犯。在最初的非犯罪者中，晚期发病者与非犯罪者的区别在于早期饮酒。在13岁就已经犯罪的青少年中，自动扶梯与停止者的区别在于家庭管理不善、家庭冲突、与反社会同龄人的交往、社区中有问题儿童的存在以及毒品的可获得性。与之前的研究结果相比，一般城市样本，家庭因素显着预测停止犯罪的18岁以下的儿童从低收入家庭。
Using data from the Seattle Social Development Project, we identify childhood predictors of offending trajectories among poor children. Five trajectories are identified: nonoffenders, late onsetters, desisters, escalators, and chronic offenders. Among initial nonoffenders, late onsetters are distinguished from nonoffenders by early alcohol drinking. Among youths already delinquent at age 13, escalators are distinguished from desisters by poor family management, family conflict, association with antisocial peers, the presence of troubled children in their neighborhoods, and drug availability. In contrast to prior findings for a general urban sample, family factors significantly predict desistance from offending by age 18 in children from low-income families.