Impacto das mudanças climáticas no zoneamento agroclimático do café no Brasil
Impacto das mudanças climáticas no zoneamento agroclimático do café no Brasil
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巴西咖啡厅农业气候区气候影响
DOI：
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发表时间：
2004
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
A. M. H. Avila
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
E. Assad;H. S. Pinto;J. Z. Júnior;A. M. H. Avila
根据政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)的最新报告，全球气温将上升1摄氏度至5.8摄氏度，热带地区的降雨量将增加15%。分析了这些可能的情景对阿拉伯咖啡(Coffea arabica L.)农业气候区划的影响。巴西的主要种植区。结果表明，在气温升高5.8℃的情况下，戈亚斯、米纳斯吉拉斯和圣保罗的适宜面积减少了95%以上，巴拉那的适宜面积减少了约75%。这些结果表明，所分析的品种的所有生理特性都是相同的，经济发展的理想气候条件是年平均气温在18℃至23℃之间。
According to the last report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the global temperature is supposed to increase 1°C to 5.8°C and the rainfall 15% in the Tropical area. This paper analyses the effect that these possible scenarios would have in the agroclimatic zoning of the arabic coffee (Coffea arabica L.) main plantation areas in Brazil. The results indicated a reduction of suitable areas greater than 95% in Goias, Minas Gerais and Sao Paulo and about 75% for Parana in the case of a temperature increase of 5.8 o C. These results presume that all the physiological characteristics of the crop will be the same for the varieties analyzed and that the ideal climatic condition for economic development is mean annual temperatures between 18 o C and 23 o C.