Getting pandas to breed: Paradigm blindness and the policy space for risk prevention, mitigation and management

Getting pandas to breed: Paradigm blindness and the policy space for risk prevention, mitigation and management
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大熊猫繁殖:范式盲目性与风险防范、缓解和管理的政策空间

DOI:
10.1057/rm.2012.6
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发表时间:
2012
期刊:
Risk Management
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Fischbacher-Smith D
Fischbacher-Smith D
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
Fischbacher-Smith D

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各组织能够接受对其世界观的挑战的方式,是确定和预防风险以及发展旨在控制危险活动后果的政策空间的一个重要因素。这里的一个关键考虑因素是,范式盲视可以阻止组织接受对这些世界观的挑战。本文认为,范式盲目性,通过重点发展的政策空间周围的技术验证的风险作为一个政策结构。这篇文章的重点是那些政策领域,有一个围绕概率和后果的技术决定高度的不确定性。从失败的过程考虑,本文认为范式在确定组织决策的重要性。文章继续考虑专业知识在这一过程中的作用,并概述了两个理论视角,试图解释更广泛的风险背景和技术验证过程之间的关系。
The manner in which organizations are able to accept challenges to their worldviews is an important element in the identification and prevention of risk and the development of the policy spaces that seek to control the consequences of hazardous activities. A key consideration here is the manner in which paradigm blindness can prevent organizations from accepting challenges to these worldviews. This article considers paradigm blindness through a focus on the development of the policy space around the technical verification of risk as a policy construct. The article has a focus on those policy areas where there is a high level of uncertainty surrounding the technical determinations of both probabilities and consequences. Following on from a consideration of the processes around failure, the article considers the importance of paradigms in determining organizational decision making. The article moves on to consider the role of expertise within the process, and outlines two theoretical perspectives that seek to explain the relationships between the wider context of risk and the processes around technical verification.
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