Explaining External Support for Insurgent Groups
Explaining External Support for Insurgent Groups
复制标题
解释对叛乱组织的外部支持
DOI：
10.1017/s0020818311000233
复制
发表时间：
2011
影响因子：
7.8
通讯作者：
D. Cunningham
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Idean Salehyan;K. Gleditsch;D. Cunningham
摘要许多叛军组织从外部政府获得了大量援助，但为什么一些叛军吸引了外国支持，而另一些叛军则没有，人们对此知之甚少。我们从委托代理的角度分析了决定叛乱组织外部支持的因素。我们既关注供应面，也就是当各州愿意支持其他州的叛乱组织时，也关注需求面，也就是当团体愿意接受这种支持时，条件可能是这样做。我们使用关于叛乱组织和外国支持的新的分类数据来检验我们的假设。我们的结果表明，反叛分子的外部支持受到反叛团体的特点以及反叛团体与其他国家行为者之间的联系的影响。更具体地说，我们发现，在跨国选民、国际竞争以及政府接受外国支持的情况下，外部支持更有可能提供给中等实力的群体，这些群体更有可能提供和接受支持。
Abstract Many rebel organizations receive significant assistance from external governments, yet the reasons why some rebels attract foreign support while others do not is poorly understood. We analyze factors determining external support for insurgent groups from a principal-agent perspective. We focus on both the supply side, that is, when states are willing to support insurgent groups in other states, and the demand side, that is, when groups are willing to accept such support, with the conditions that this may entail. We test our hypotheses using new disaggregated data on insurgent groups and foreign support. Our results indicate that external rebel support is influenced by characteristics of the rebel group as well as linkages between rebel groups and actors in other countries. More specifically, we find that external support is more likely for moderately strong groups where support is more likely to be offered and accepted, in the presence of transnational constituencies, international rivalries, and when the government receives foreign support.