Big jump principle for heavy-tailed random walks with correlated increments
Big jump principle for heavy-tailed random walks with correlated increments
复制标题
具有相关增量的重尾随机游走的大跳跃原理
DOI:
10.1140/epjb/s10051-021-00215-7
复制
发表时间:
2021
期刊:
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
E. Barkai
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
M. Höll;E. Barkai
The big jump principle explains the emergence of extreme events for physical quantities modelled by a sum of independent and identically distributed random variables which are heavy-tailed. Extreme events are large values of the sum and they are solely dominated by the largest summand called the big jump. Recently, the principle was introduced into physical sciences where systems usually exhibit correlations. Here, we study the principle for a random walk with correlated increments. Examples of the increments are the autoregressive model of first order and the discretised Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process both with heavy-tailed noise. The correlation leads to the dependence of large values of the sum not only on the big jump but also on the following increments. We describe this behaviour by two big jump principles, namely unconditioned and conditioned on the step number when the big jump occurs. The unconditional big jump principle is described by a correlation-dependent shift between the sum and maximum distribution tails. For the conditional big jump principle, the shift depends also on the step number of the big jump.
DOI:
10.1088/1742-5468/ab74ca
发表时间:
2019
期刊:
Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment
影响因子:
--
作者:
R. Burioni;A. Vezzani
通讯作者:
A. Vezzani
影响因子:
1.6
作者:
C. Godrèche
通讯作者:
C. Godrèche
DOI:
10.1088/1751-8121/aa6a6e
发表时间:
2016
期刊:
Journal of Physics A: Mathematical and Theoretical
影响因子:
--
作者:
C. Godrèche
通讯作者:
C. Godrèche