Exploring the Future of Nairobi National Park in a Changing Climate and Urban Growth
Exploring the Future of Nairobi National Park in a Changing Climate and Urban Growth
复制标题
探索内罗毕国家公园在气候变化和城市发展中的未来
DOI：
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发表时间：
2019
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
James Mbugua
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
O. M. Ogega;H. N. Wanjohi;James Mbugua
内罗毕国家公园（NNP）日益受到城市化的影响。国家公园周边卫星城镇的空前增长已经侵占了野生动物的扩散路线，导致野生动物的放牧和栖息地面积减少。本章评估历史城市增长模式、历史季节性降雨趋势，并对内罗毕未来降雨变化进行展望。研究发现，内罗毕的历史季节性降雨量在 2000 年至 2017 年期间变化很大，这意味着季节内降雨量的变化有所增加。降雨量预测显示降雨量将增加，内罗毕人口快速增长，以及对 NNP 及其邻近野生动物散布区的严重侵蚀。向政策制定者、实施者和消费者提出建议，以告知 NNP 的生存和繁荣。
Nairobi National Park (NNP) is increasingly suffering from the impacts of urbanization. The unprecedented growth of satellite towns around NNP has encroached on wildlife dispersal routes causing diminished grazing and habitat areas for wildlife. This chapter assesses historical urban growth patterns, historical seasonal rainfall trends, and gives an outlook of future rainfall changes for Nairobi. Historical seasonal rainfall over Nairobi is found to be highly variable with the period 2000–2017 implying increased intraseasonal rainfall variability. Projections for rainfall indicate an increasing rainfall, and rapid population growth in Nairobi and significant encroachment into the NNP and its adjacent wildlife dispersal areas are also recorded. Recommendations for policy makers, implementers, and consumers are made to inform NNP’s survival and prosperity.