Recent Trends in Earnings Volatility: Evidence from Survey and Administrative Data
Recent Trends in Earnings Volatility: Evidence from Survey and Administrative Data
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盈利波动的最新趋势：来自调查和管理数据的证据
DOI：
10.1515/1935-1682.3043
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发表时间：
2012
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
J. Thompson
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Suleyman Celik;Chinhui Juhn;Kristin McCue;J. Thompson
摘要最近的论文发现，收益波动性再次上升（Dynan et al. 2008，and Shin and Solon 2011）。使用家庭调查数据-匹配的当前人口调查和收入和计划分配调查-以及新提供的纵向就业和家庭动态管理数据集，我们发现收入波动在20世纪90年代和21世纪初中期非常稳定。这一证据与收入动态小组研究（PSID）的结果形成鲜明对比，后者在21世纪初急剧增加。我们调查是否调整措施的基础上，我们的来源，以更紧密地匹配PSID的特点可以调和这种差异的趋势，但没有找到一个明确的解释分歧。我们还发现，几乎没有证据表明波动性的组成部分在这一时期有所上升：离职者之间的波动性，在职者之间的波动性，以及离职工人的比例。
Abstract Recent papers find that earnings volatility is again on the rise (Dynan et al. 2008, and Shin and Solon 2011). Using household survey data—the matched Current Population Surveys and Survey of Income and Program Participation—and the newly available Longitudinal Employment and Household Dynamics administrative dataset, we find that earnings volatility was remarkably stable in the 1990s and through the mid 2000s. This evidence is in contrast to that from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) which registers a sharp increase in the early 2000s. We investigate whether adjusting measures based on our sources to more closely match the characteristics of the PSID can reconcile this divergence in trends, but do not find a clear explanation for the divergence. We also find little evidence of a rise over this period in the components of volatility: volatility among job leavers, volatility among job stayers, and the fraction of workers who are job leavers.