Assessing Emission Allocation in Europe: An Interactive Simulation Approach
Assessing Emission Allocation in Europe: An Interactive Simulation Approach
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评估欧洲的排放分配：交互式模拟方法
DOI：
10.2139/ssrn.560881
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发表时间：
2005
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
U. Moslener
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Christoph Böhringer;Tim Hoffmann;Andreas Lange;Andreas Löschel;U. Moslener
通过国家分配计划实施欧盟范围内的排放交易体系是欧洲环境政策议程的核心。成员国面临着根据《欧盟负担分担协议》在有资格进行国际排放交易的能源密集型部门和将受到补充性国内排放监管的其余经济部门之间分配国家排放预算的问题。国家排放预算在贸易部门和非贸易部门之间的具体国家细分将决定欧盟排放交易体系的成本效率以及每个成员国相对于国内减排政策的收益。我们提出了一个交互式模拟模型，用户可以在其中指定每个欧盟成员国的国家分配计划的设计，然后评估由此产生的经济影响。我们的数值框架基于欧盟 15 国经济体（排放）贸易和非贸易部门的边际减排成本曲线。说明性模拟强调了协调设计国家分配计划的重要性，以避免大量超额监管成本和非贸易部门与贸易部门之间剧烈的负担转移。
Implementation of an EU-wide emissions trading system by means of National Allocation Plans is at the core of European environmental policy agenda. Member States are faced with the problem of allocating their national emission budgets under the EU Burden Sharing Agreement between energy-intensive sectors that are eligible for international emissions trading and the remaining segments of their economies that will be subject to complementary domestic emission regulation. The country-specific segmentation of national emission budgets between trading sectors and non-trading sectors will determine the cost efficiency of the EU emissions trading system and the gains for each Member State vis-a-vis domestic abatement policies. We present an interactive simulation model where users can specify the design of National Allocation Plans for each EU Member State and then evaluate the induced economic effects. Our numerical framework is based on marginal abatement cost curves for (emissions) trading and non-trading sectors of the EU-15 economies. Illustrative simulations highlight the importance of a coordinated design of National Allocation Plans in order to avoid substantial excess costs of regulation and drastic burden shifting between nontrading and trading sectors.