Allocation of CO2 emission permits - economic incentives for emission reductions in developing countries.
Allocation of CO2 emission permits - economic incentives for emission reductions in developing countries.
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DOI：
10.1016/j.enpol.2005.02.001
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发表时间：
2006-09
期刊：
影响因子：
9
通讯作者：
T. Persson;C. Azar;K. Lindgren
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
T. Persson;C. Azar;K. Lindgren
通过使用能源-经济系统模型，评估了全球二氧化碳排放限额和交易制度对发展中地区的经济影响。到2050年，无论是平等的人均分配，还是人均排放量趋同的收缩和趋同分配，都显示出为非洲、印度、可能还有拉丁美洲提供经济激励，以接受在450ppm二氧化碳稳定情景下具有约束力的排放承诺。拉丁美洲的增长主要是由于气候政策增加了生物燃料销售的出口收入。另一方面，这些分配方法不太可能为中国加入该制度提供经济激励，因为中国的经济增长速度很快，人均排放量高于印度和非洲，而且缓解方案的成本高于拉丁美洲。对发展中国家实行更严格的分配，例如在本世纪末实现人均排放量趋同，估计将减少发展中国家的净收益或增加净损失(尽管非洲仍有望获益)。
The economic impacts on developing regions following a global cap and trade system for carbon dioxide are assessed through the use of an energy-economy systems model. Both an equal per capita allocation and a contraction and convergence allocation with convergence of the per capita emissions by 2050 are shown to offer economic incentive for Africa, India and probably also Latin America to accept binding emissions commitments under a 450ppm carbon dioxide stabilization scenario. The gain for Latin America is mainly a result of increased export revenues from sales of bio-fuels as a result of the climate policy. It is, on the other hand, unlikely that these allocation approaches would offer an economic incentive for China to join the regime because of its high economic growth, present higher per capita emissions than India and Africa, and more costly mitigation options than Latin America. A more stringent allocation for developing countries such as contraction with convergence of the per capita emissions by the end of this century is estimated to generate reduced net gains or increased net losses for the developing regions (though Africa is still expected to gain).