Immigration and crime: evidence from victimization data

Immigration and crime: evidence from victimization data
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移民与犯罪:来自受害数据的证据

DOI:
10.1007/s00148-015-0543-2
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发表时间:
2015
影响因子:
6.1
通讯作者:
Luca Nunziata
Luca Nunziata
中科院分区:
经济学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Luca Nunziata

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我们利用本世纪头十年流入西欧国家的移民人数的增加来评估移民是否会影响犯罪受害者和欧洲原住民对犯罪的看法。利用欧洲社会调查、劳动力调查和其他来源的数据,我们提供了一套固定效应和工具变量估计,这些估计涉及按地区对移民进行内生分类,以及基于调查的地区移民份额衡量中的抽样误差,并通过蒙特卡洛模拟研究了其在衰减偏差方面的影响。我们的实证结果表明,移民的增加不会影响犯罪受害人数,但它与犯罪恐惧的增加有关,后者与当地人对移民的负面态度一致且正相关。我们的结果揭示了欧洲原住民对移民和犯罪之间联系的误解。
We exploit the increase in immigration flows into western European countries that took place in the 2000s to assess whether immigration affects crime victimization and the perception of criminality among European natives. Using data from the European Social Survey, the Labour Force Survey and other sources, we provide a set of fixed effects and instrumental variable estimations that deal with the endogenous sorting of immigration by region and with the sampling error in survey-based measures of regional immigration shares, whose implications in terms of attenuation bias are investigated by means of Monte Carlo simulations. Our empirical findings show that an increase in immigration does not affect crime victimization, but it is associated with an increase in the fear of crime, the latter being consistently and positively correlated with the natives’ unfavourable attitude toward immigrants. Our results reveal a misconception of the link between immigration and crime among European natives.