The Logic of Plausible Reasoning: A Core Theory
The Logic of Plausible Reasoning: A Core Theory
复制标题
合理推理的逻辑：核心理论
DOI：
10.1207/s15516709cog1301_1
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发表时间：
1989
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
R. Michalski
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
A. Collins;R. Michalski
摘要本文在分析人们对日常世界问题的回答的基础上，提出了人类合情推理的核心理论。该理论由三部分组成：1. 1.一种形式化的合理推理模式;如演绎法、归纳法和类比法，经常用于回答日常问题; 2. 2.一组参数，如条件似然性，典型性和相似性，影响人们对这些问题的答案的确定性;以及3. 3.将所述不同的似然推断模式与所述不同的确定性参数相关联的系统。这是第一次尝试构建一个正式的理论，解决了语义和参数方面的日常推理，弥漫。人类的一切话语。
Abstract The paper presents a core theory of human plausible reasoning based on analysis of people's answers to everyday questions about the world. The theory consists of three parts: 1. 1. a formal representation of plausible inference patterns; such as deductions, inductions, and analogies, that are frequently employed in answering everyday questions; 2. 2. a set of parameters, such as conditional likelihood, typicality, and similarity, that affect the certainty of people's answers to such questions; and 3. 3. a system relating the different plausible inference patterns and the different certainty parameters. This is one of the first attempts to construct a formal theory that addresses both the semantic and parametric aspects of the kind of everyday reasoning that pervades. all of human discourse.