Implications of a UK exit from the EU for British agriculture
Implications of a UK exit from the EU for British agriculture
复制标题
英国退出欧盟对英国农业的影响
作者：
Van Berkum;R. Jongeneel;H. Vrolijk;Van Leeuwen;J. Jager
本报告量化了在英国脱离欧盟的情况下，可能的贸易和农业支持方案对英国农业生产、贸易、农场入门价格和农民收入水平的影响。每种情景的结果都表明，对大多数部门来说，英国农业收入变化的最大驱动力是可用的公共支持支付水平。自由贸易协定和世贸组织违约情景对农业收入的积极价格影响被直接支持支付的损失所抵消。直接支付的减少或完全取消，将加剧英国贸易自由化情景下的负面影响
This report offers quantification of effects of possible trade and agricultural support scenarios on the UK agricultural production, trade, farm gate prices and farmers’ income levels in case of the UK leaving the EU. The results of each scenario show that for most sectors the biggest driver of UK farm income changes is the level of public support payments available. The positive price impacts on farm incomes seen through both the FTA and WTO default scenario are offset by the loss of direct support payments. A reduction of direct payments, or their complete elimination, would exacerbate the negative impact seen under the UK Trade Liberalisation scenario