The impact of renewable energy on electricity prices in the Netherlands
The impact of renewable energy on electricity prices in the Netherlands
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可再生能源对荷兰电价的影响
DOI：
10.1016/j.renene.2013.01.025
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发表时间：
2013
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Bert Scholtens
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
M. Mulder;Bert Scholtens
由于可再生能源的普及率更高，以及气候变化，电力市场可能会对天气状况变得更加敏感。我们调查了2006-2011年期间，天气状况是否对荷兰电力市场的平均日电价产生了越来越大的影响，这段时期是可再生能源产量增加的时期。我们考虑了荷兰和德国的天气状况，因为这两个市场密切相关。我们发现，德国的平均风速对荷兰的电价有负面影响。尽管德国风电装机容量大幅增加，但这种影响相当稳定。荷兰风速对荷兰电价的影响略有增加。我们没有发现日照强度对电价的强烈影响。荷兰的电价在很大程度上仍与传统燃气发电厂的边际成本有关。尽管可再生能源在发电组合中的份额越来越大，但它们对荷兰电力市场电价的影响并不大。
Electricity markets may become more sensitive to weather conditions because of a higher penetration of renewable energy sources and climatic changes. We investigate whether weather conditions had a growing influence on the average daily day-ahead price in the Dutch electricity market in the period 2006–2011, a period when renewable energy production increased. We account for weather conditions in both the Netherlands and Germany, as these two markets are closely connected. We find that the average wind speed in Germany negatively affects Dutch electricity prices. This effect is fairly constant despite the significant increase in German wind energy capacity. The impact of wind speed in the Netherlands on Dutch electricity prices slightly increased. We do not find a robust effect of the intensity of sunshine on electricity prices. The Dutch electricity price remains to a large extent related to the marginal costs of conventional gas-fired power plants. Although renewable energy sources have an increasing share in the generation portfolio, their impact on the electricity price in the Dutch electricity market is modest.