How Many U.S. Jobs Might Be Offshorable

How Many U.S. Jobs Might Be Offshorable
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有多少美国工作岗位可能可以外包

DOI:
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发表时间:
2007
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
A. Blinder
A. Blinder
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文献类型:
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作者:
A. Blinder

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本文利用美国劳工统计局职业代码中超过 800 个工作性质的详细信息,根据将工作离岸的难易程度(无论是物理的还是电子的)对这些职业进行排名。使用此排名,估计美国所有工作中的 22% 到 29% 可能会在十年或两年内实现离岸。(没有估计实际有多少工作将被离岸。) 排名是主观的,有两种选择——一种是完全客观的,另一种是独立的主观排名。总的来说,他们证实了排名,尽管并不完美。研究发现,职业的“离岸能力”与其工人的技能水平(通过教育程度或工资来衡量)之间几乎没有相关性。然而,在控制教育因素的情况下,外包程度最高的职业在 2004 年的工资似乎已经显着降低。
Using detailed information on the nature of work done in over 800 US Bureau of Labor Statistics occupational codes, this paper ranks those occupations according to how easy/hard it is to offshore the work – either physically or electronically. Using this ranking, it is estimated that somewhere between 22% and 29% of all US jobs are or will be potentially offshorable within a decade or two. (No estimate is made of how many jobs will actually be offshored.) Since the rankings are subjective, two alternatives are presented – one is entirely objective, the other is an independent subjective ranking. In general, they corroborate the rankings, albeit not perfectly. It is found that there is little or no correlation between an occupation’s ‘offshorability’ and the skill level of its workers (as measured either by educational attainment or wages). However, it appears that, controlling for education, the most highly offshorable occupations were already paying significantly lower wages in 2004.