Food, Energy and Water Nexus: An Urban Living Laboratory Development for Sustainable Systems Transition
Food, Energy and Water Nexus: An Urban Living Laboratory Development for Sustainable Systems Transition
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食物、能源和水的关系：可持续系统转型的城市生活实验室开发
DOI：
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发表时间：
2022
期刊：
影响因子：
3.9
通讯作者：
Thaís Lohana Pereira Ribeiro
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Maria Ester Soares Dal Poz;Paulo Sérgio de Arruda Ignácio;A. Azevedo;Érika Cristina Francisco;Alessandro Luís Piolli;Gabriel Gheorghiu da Silva;Thaís Lohana Pereira Ribeiro
从气候变化的角度来看，对自然公共资源的治理是向可持续性过渡的挑战中的一个关键点。本文介绍了<s:1>圣保罗城市生活实验室（ULL）在巴西东南部近郊地区高生物多样性森林边界的食物、能源和水（FEW Nexus）分析和建模方面的主要战略进展。它是一种关于FEW治理的可复制和可扩展的方法。“少数联系”是一份行动分析指南，它将使向可持续发展过渡所要求的一系列巨大的创新过程成为可能。少数维度的可持续治理被视为一个基于创新的过程，通过决策工具来了解系统的过去和未来动态。治理框架基于可持续性相关因素的多标准和多属性集，这些因素作为指标，通过德尔菲方法对复杂系统动力学（SD）和利益相关者的未来期望进行建模。基于生态系统服务方法的三个主要维度——物理和物质条件、社区属性和使用规则——该工具包括13个具体的可持续性指标，如水和碳足迹、土地利用社会发展、生态系统服务支付和土地利用收益指数。它的发展旨在为社会环境利益相关者的决策过程和集体学习建立一个长期网络，以实现更高水平的可持续系统。系统动力学模型显示了可持续性指标与生态系统服务支付对土地利用、社会发展指数或营养状态指数的影响之间的关联。德尔菲预见方法使用普罗米修斯-盖亚方法，使我们能够了解多个代理在过渡过程中的位置。在这方面，决策工具在回答ull的“如何”问题和为过渡铺平道路、为可持续性过渡管理提供集体规划和决策支持框架方面可能非常有用和有效。
From a climate change perspective, the governance of natural common-pool resources—the commons—is a key point in the challenge of transitioning to sustainability. This paper presents the main strategic advances of the São Paulo Urban Living Laboratory (ULL) regarding Food, Energy and Water (FEW Nexus) analysis and modelling at the border of a high biodiverse forest in a peri-urban region in southeast Brazil. It is a replicable and scalable method concerning FEW governance. The FEW Nexus is an analytical guide to actions that will enable a colossal set of innovative processes that the transition to sustainability presupposes. Sustainable governance of the FEW dimensions, seen as an innovation-based process, is approached by a decision making tool to understand the past and future dynamics of the system. The governance framework is based on a multi-criteria and multi-attribute set of sustainability-relevant factors used as indicators to model complex system dynamics (SD) and the stakeholders’ future expectations through a Delphi approach. Based on the three main dimensions of the Ecosystem Services Approach—Physical and Material Conditions, Attributes of Communities, and Rules-in-Use—the tool comprises thirteen specific sustainability indicators such as water and carbon footprints, land use social development, payment for ecosystem services, and land use gain indices. Its development was designed to generate a long-term network of socioenvironmental stakeholders’ decision making processes and collective learning about a higher level of sustainable systems. System Dynamics modelling demonstrates the associations between sustainability indicators and the impacts of payment for ecosystem services on the land use social development index, or on the trophic state index. The Delphi foresight approach, using the Promethee-Gaia method, allows us to understand the positions of multiple agents regarding the transition process. In this context, decision making tools can be very useful and effective in answering the “how to” questions of ULLs and paving the way for transition, providing collective planning and decision support frameworks for sustainability transition management.