Consequences of Confirmation and Disconfirmation in a Simulated Research Environment
Consequences of Confirmation and Disconfirmation in a Simulated Research Environment
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模拟研究环境中确认和否定的后果
DOI：
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发表时间：
1978
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
R. Tweney
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Clifford R. Mynatt;M. Doherty;R. Tweney
科学专业的高级本科生每人尝试大约 10 个小时来发现动态系统的规律。该系统包括 27 个固定物体，其中一些影响移动粒子的方向。在给定时间，可以在等离子显示屏上观察到九屏矩阵中的任意一个屏幕。尽管一半的受试者都被仔细指导过强推理，但确认策略仍然是规则。造假对于某些主题来说会适得其反。似乎由验证性研究支持的归纳概括的坚实基础是有效实施证伪策略的先决条件。
Advanced undergraduate science majors attempted for approximately 10h each to discover the laws governing a dynamic system. The system included 27 fixed objects, some of which influenced the direction of a moving particle. At a given time, any one screen of a nine-screen matrix could be observed on a plasma display screen. Confirmatory strategies were the rule, even though half the subjects had been carefully instructed in strong inference. Falsification was counterproductive for some subjects. It seems that a firm base of inductive generalizations, supported by confirmatory research, is a prerequisite to useful implementation of a falsification strategy.