Integrated origin-based demand modeling for air transportation
Integrated origin-based demand modeling for air transportation
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DOI：
10.1016/j.tre.2020.102050
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发表时间：
2020-10-01
影响因子：
10.6
通讯作者：
Morlotti, Chiara
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Birolini, Sebastian;Cattaneo, Mattia;Morlotti, Chiara
本文提出了一个基于始发地的航空旅行需求模型，该模型假设始发地饱和，并明确说明目的地之间的可替代性。我们同时整合需求的生成和分配的多级聚合嵌套logit制定，包括选择是否乘飞机旅行，在哪里旅行（目的地），以及如何旅行（行程）。提出了两个规范，以反映系统的运距之间的差异和引导，以共同解决endoscopic问题和数据丢失。在2018年从意大利出发的整个出境航空旅行网络上测试了所提出方法的有效性。
This paper proposes an origin-based air travel demand model that assumes saturation at the origin level and explicitly accounts for substitutability between destinations. We simultaneously integrate demand generation and allocation by means of a multilevel aggregate nested logit formulation that covers the choices of whether or not to travel by air, where to travel (desti-nation), and how to travel (itinerary). Two specifications are proposed to reflect systematic differences between lengths of haul and the bootstrap is applied to jointly address endogeneity issues and data missingness. The validity of the proposed approach is tested over the entire network of outbound air trips from Italy in 2018.