The prediction of criminal recidivism in juveniles - A meta-analysis
The prediction of criminal recidivism in juveniles - A meta-analysis
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DOI：
10.1177/0093854801028003005
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发表时间：
2001-06-01
影响因子：
2.1
通讯作者：
Heilbrun, K
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Cottle, CC;Lee, RJ;Heilbrun, K
元分析被用来确定最能预测青少年累犯的风险因素，青少年累犯的定义是因任何类型的犯罪而再次被捕。23项已发表的研究，代表了15,265名青少年，符合纳入标准。计算了30个再次犯罪预测因子的效应大小。比较了8组预测因素：(A)人口统计信息，(B)犯罪史，(C)家庭和社会因素，(D)教育因素，(E)智力和成绩得分，(F)药物使用史，(G)临床因素，和(H)正式风险评估。犯规历史是再次犯规的最强预测因素。其他相对较强的预测因素包括家庭问题、闲暇时间利用不善等。违法的同伴，行为问题，和不严重的病理。
A meta-analysis was conducted to identify risk factors that best predict juvenile recidivism, defined as rearrest for offending of any kind. Twenty-three published studies, representing 15,265 juveniles, met inclusion criteria. Effect sizes were calculated for 30 predictors of recidivism. Eight groups of predictors were compared: (a) demographic information, (b) offense history, (C) family and social factors, (d) educational factors, (e) intellectual and achievement scores, (f) substance use history, (g) clinical factors, and (h) formal risk assessment. The domain of offense history was the strongest predictor of reoffending. Other relatively strong predictors included family problems, ineffective use of leisure time. delinquent peers, conduct problems, and nonsevere pathology.