A Conjunctural Model of Political Conflict
A Conjunctural Model of Political Conflict
复制标题
政治冲突的联合模型
DOI：
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发表时间：
1996
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Kurt Schock
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Kurt Schock
暴力政治冲突通常是从经济不满或政治机会框架来研究的。这项研究提出了一个合取模型，该模型假设，由于经济不平等而产生的不满是有系统的，并与政治机会相互作用，从而产生暴力政治冲突。利用多元回归分析，这项跨国研究考察了经济不平等和政治机会之间的相互作用，以及它们对政治暴力的直接影响。研究结果支持了相关模型命题，即政治机会结构缓和了经济不平等和暴力政治冲突之间的关系。具体地说，收入不平等和分离主义潜力对政治暴力的积极影响在弱国得到加强。阶级剥削对暴力政治冲突的影响受到政权结构和政治制度化的影响。研究结果表明，政治机会结构可能以不同的方式运作，以应对根植于阶级的挑战，而不是种族不平等。
Violent political conflict has typically been studied either from an economic discontent or a political opportunity framework. This study proposes a conjunctural model, which hypothesizes that the production of grievances due to economic inequality varies systematically and interacts with political opportunities to generate violent political conflict. Using multiple regression analysis, this cross-national research examines the interaction between economic inequality and political opportunities, and their direct effects on political violence. Findings provide support for the conjunctural model propositions that political opportunity structures moderate the relationship between economic inequality and violent political conflict. Specifically, the positive effects of income inequality and separatist potential on political violence are enhanced in weak states. The impact of class exploitation on violent political conflict is moderated by regime structure and political institutionalization. Findings suggest that political opportunity structures may operate in different ways for challenges rooted in class as opposed to ethnic inequalities.