Presidential Young Investigator Award: Improved Methods of Forcasting Construction Cost and Schedule Performance

这项研究的目的是开发一种更好的方法，或方法， 预测建设项目绩效。 其旨在 通过三个独立但协调的研究来实现这一目标 研究-两项调查费用预测，另一项时间表 预测。 成本研究和进度研究之一将 探讨如何应用以知识为基础的专家系统概念， 计算机科学来解决这些预测问题。 数量，如 与启发式相反，预测成本性能的方法将是 研究了 未来几年，其他方面的建设项目 质量、安全和组织问题等绩效， 调查，但成本和时间是关键的两个问题， 初步调查。

The goal of this research is to develop a better way, or ways, to forecast construction project performance. It is intended to accomplish this by three separate, but coordinated research studies--two investigating cost forecasting and the other schedule forecasting. One of the cost studies and the schedule study will explore ways of applying knowledge-based expert system concepts from computer science to these forecasting problems. Quantitative, as opposed to heuristic, methods of forecasting cost performance will be investigated. In future years, other aspects of construction project performance such as quality, safety, and organizational issues will be investigated, but cost and time are the crucial two issues for this initial investigation.