Conference on Utility: Theory, Measurement, and Applications in Santa Cruz, California, June 89
Conference on Utility: Theory, Measurement, and Applications in Santa Cruz, California, June 89
批准号:
8823012
负责人:
Ward Edwards
金额:
$4.75万
依托单位国家:
美国
项目类别:
Standard Grant
财政年份:
1989
资助国家:
美国
项目状态:
已结题
起止时间:
1989-06-01 至 1991-05-31
中文摘要
该建议解决了决策制定中一个重要的新问题,即为协助分析复杂决策而开发的技术与作为决策分析理论基础的预期实用新型的适当性之间日益增长的分歧。本提案的重点是召开一次会议,汇集领先的实践者和理论家,根据预期效用理论和行为决策理论的理论见解重新评估决策分析。此外,会议将探讨实证研究结果对新决策理论发展的影响。DRMS小组认为,这种强调代表了一种令人兴奋的理论匹配。对DRMS项目的建设和应用的兴趣,以及会议代表了一个不同寻常的机会,提供关于理论本质的见解。在决策科学中建立描述性、规范性和规范性见解之间的关系。此外,首席研究员被认为是唯一有资格确定议程并激发受邀参与者之间讨论的人。鉴于与会者的质量和会议的时间,其结果被认为可能对理论家和决策实践者具有重要意义。
英文摘要
This proposal addresses an important emerging issue in decision making, the growing divergence between technologies developed to assist in the analysis of complex decisions and the appropriateness of the expected utility model as a theoretical basis for decision analysis. The focus of this proposal is a conference that will bring together leading practitioners and theorists to reassess decision analysis in light of the theoretical insights from expected utility theory and behavioral decision theory. In addition, the conference will examine the implications of empirical findings for the development of new decision theory. The DRMS panel felt that this emphasis represented an exciting match of the theory.building and applied interests of the DRMS program and that the conference represents an unusual opportunity to provide insights about the nature of theory.building, and the relation between descriptive, normative, and prescriptive insights, in the decision sciences. Furthermore, the principal investigator is believed to be uniquely qualified to define the agenda and to stimulate discussion among the invited participants. In light of the quality of the participants and the timing of the conference, its results are considered likely to be significant for theorists as well as practitioners of decision making.
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会议论文
Collaborative Research: Risk Attitudes and Changing Reference Points
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批准号:9409698
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项目类别:Standard Grant
-
资助金额:$16.63万
-
财政年份:1994
-
负责人:Ward Edwards
-
依托单位:
HAILFINDER: Bayesian Prediction of Severe Weather
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批准号:9106440
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项目类别:Standard Grant
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资助金额:$27.77万
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财政年份:1991
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负责人:Ward Edwards
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依托单位:
Toward Developing Methods For Understanding Public ResponsesTo Risky Technologies
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批准号:8108638
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项目类别:Continuing Grant
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资助金额:$26.3万
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财政年份:1981
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负责人:Ward Edwards
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依托单位:
海外基金