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Conference on Utility: Theory, Measurement, and Applications in Santa Cruz, California, June 89

Conference on Utility: Theory, Measurement, and Applications in Santa Cruz, California, June 89
公用事业会议:理论、测量和应用,加利福尼亚州圣克鲁斯,89 年 6 月
批准号:
8823012
负责人:
Ward Edwards
金额:
$4.75万
依托单位国家:
美国
项目类别:
Standard Grant
财政年份:
1989
资助国家:
美国
项目状态:
已结题
起止时间:
1989-06-01 至 1991-05-31

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中文摘要
翻译
这项建议涉及决定中一个新出现的重要问题, 技术发展之间的差距越来越大, 协助分析复杂的决策, 预期效用模型作为一种理论 决策分析的基础。 该提案的重点是 会议将汇集领先的从业人员和 理论家们重新评估决策分析, 期望效用理论和行为理论的理论见解 决策理论 此外,会议还将审议 实证研究结果对发展新的 决策理论 DRMS小组认为, 代表了一个令人兴奋的匹配的理论。建设和应用 DRMS计划的利益,会议代表 一个不寻常的机会,提供有关的性质, 理论建设,以及描述性,规范性, 和规范性的见解。 此外,首席研究员被认为是 唯一有资格确定议程和促进 邀请与会者进行讨论。 考虑到 与会者的素质和会议的时间安排, 结果被认为可能是重要的理论家, 以及决策制定的实践者。
英文摘要
This proposal addresses an important emerging issue in decision making, the growing divergence between technologies developed to assist in the analysis of complex decisions and the appropriateness of the expected utility model as a theoretical basis for decision analysis. The focus of this proposal is a conference that will bring together leading practitioners and theorists to reassess decision analysis in light of the theoretical insights from expected utility theory and behavioral decision theory. In addition, the conference will examine the implications of empirical findings for the development of new decision theory. The DRMS panel felt that this emphasis represented an exciting match of the theory.building and applied interests of the DRMS program and that the conference represents an unusual opportunity to provide insights about the nature of theory.building, and the relation between descriptive, normative, and prescriptive insights, in the decision sciences. Furthermore, the principal investigator is believed to be uniquely qualified to define the agenda and to stimulate discussion among the invited participants. In light of the quality of the participants and the timing of the conference, its results are considered likely to be significant for theorists as well as practitioners of decision making.
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Collaborative Research: Risk Attitudes and Changing Reference Points
  • 批准号:
    9409698
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
  • 资助金额:
    $16.63万
  • 财政年份:
    1994
  • 负责人:
    Ward Edwards
  • 依托单位:
HAILFINDER: Bayesian Prediction of Severe Weather
  • 批准号:
    9106440
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
  • 资助金额:
    $27.77万
  • 财政年份:
    1991
  • 负责人:
    Ward Edwards
  • 依托单位:
Toward Developing Methods For Understanding Public ResponsesTo Risky Technologies
  • 批准号:
    8108638
  • 项目类别:
    Continuing Grant
  • 资助金额:
    $26.3万
  • 财政年份:
    1981
  • 负责人:
    Ward Edwards
  • 依托单位:
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