Race and the Determinants of Bail, Flight and Bondsmen's Rates

种族和保释率、逃亡率和担保人比率的决定因素

• 批准号: 9310526
• 负责人: Joel Waldfogel
• 金额: $ 7.22万
• 依托单位: Yale University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 1993
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 1993-08-01 至 1996-01-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=9310526&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Race; Determinants; Bail; Flight; Bondsmen

9310526 WALDFOGEL This project will examine the objectives of the bail system and possible bias in bail by analyzing bail treatment, the likelihood of flight and danger, and bondsmen's rates in Connecticut in the late 1980's and 1990's. It has been difficult to determine whether or not there is race discrimination in the bail system for the reason that bail may be correlated with race because race may be correlated with some legitimate bail determinant. Research cannot conclusively determine whether discrimination is occurring unless the researcher can account for all factors that should affect bail. The project avoids this problem by directly examining measures of flight (and rearrest) risk, the outcome(s) that bail seeks to control. The investigators will then compare the determinants of both flight and rearrest risk. The project will also use data on bondsmen's rates to perform a market-based evaluation of the bail system. The project requires data collection, data manipulation and data analysis. The data will be collected from the Connecticut Judicial Department, the Connecticut Bail Commission and the Connecticut State Police. All of these data will require significant computer programming to become machine readable. The three data sets must also be assembled into a single, coherent data base that will be suitable for the purposes of the study. Extensive statistical analysis will then be required to answer the research questions. ***

9310526 沃尔福格尔 该项目将通过分析保释待遇，飞行和危险的可能性，并在康涅狄格州担保人的利率在20世纪80年代末和90年代的保释制度和可能的偏见的目标进行研究。 很难确定保释制度中是否存在种族歧视，因为保释可能与种族有关，因为种族可能与某些合法的保释决定因素有关。 除非研究人员能够说明影响保释的所有因素，否则研究无法最终确定是否存在歧视。 该项目通过直接检查逃跑（和再次逮捕）风险的措施来避免这个问题，保释试图控制的结果。 然后，调查人员将比较逃跑和再次被捕风险的决定因素。 该项目还将利用担保人费率数据对保释制度进行基于市场的评估。 该项目需要数据收集、数据处理和数据分析。 这些数据将从康涅狄格州司法部、康涅狄格州保释委员会和康涅狄格州警察局收集。 所有这些数据都需要大量的计算机编程才能成为机器可读的。 这三个数据集还必须汇集成一个单一的、连贯的数据库，以适合研究的目的。 然后需要进行广泛的统计分析来回答研究问题。 ***