Understanding the past to predict and manage the climate of the future

了解过去以预测和管理未来的气候

• 批准号: FL160100028
• 负责人: Prof Jonathan Woodhead
• 金额: $ 200.97万
• 依托单位: The University of Melbourne
• 依托单位国家: 澳大利亚
• 项目类别: Australian Laureate Fellowships
• 财政年份: 2016
• 资助国家: 澳大利亚
• 起止时间: 2016-07-01 至 2021-06-30
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://dataportal.arc.gov.au/RGS/Web/Grants/FL160100028
• 关键词: Understanding; past; predict; manage; climate

Understanding the past to predict and manage the climate of the future. Using key analogues from the geological record, this project aims to understand seasonal and spatial changes in Australia’s rainfall under a warming climate, and to chart the nature of the ecological responses. Shifts in rainfall patterns will have a greater societal impact for Australia than changes in temperature, but are difficult to predict with existing numerical models. The research is expected to forge important international links between researchers studying past and future climates, anticipate and manage change, and demonstrate the critical scientific value of Australia’s geological heritage.

了解过去，预测和管理未来的气候。利用地质记录中的关键类似物，该项目旨在了解气候变暖下澳大利亚降雨量的季节和空间变化，并绘制生态反应的性质。降雨模式的变化将对澳大利亚产生比温度变化更大的社会影响，但很难用现有的数值模型预测。这项研究有望在研究过去和未来气候的研究人员之间建立重要的国际联系，预测和管理变化，并展示澳大利亚地质遗产的重要科学价值。