Space Weather: Initial Development of an Analysis Model of the Inner Magnetosphere

该项目将开发空间天气分析模型，用于编制空间天气图和空间天气预报。 分析模型将由地球同步轨道、地球同步转移轨道和极低地轨道航天器提供的数据驱动。 分析模型将包括空间天气的三个组成部分：（1）磁场，（2）辐射带（高能）粒子通量，（3）千电子伏电子通量。 对于这些组成部分中的每一个，分析模型将包括四个要素：（a）经验模型，（B）观测数据，（c）模型误差-协方差矩阵，以及（d）基于物理学的模型检验器/校正器。 检查器/校正器组件将确保模型符合物理定律。

This project will develop ad space weather analysis model for use in the preparation of space weather maps and space weather forecasting. The analysis model will be driven by data from spacecraft in geosynchronous, geosynchronous-transfer and polar low-Earth (LEO) orbits. Three components of space weather will be included in the analysis model: (1) the magnetic field, (2) fluxes of radiation-belt (high energy) particles, and (3) fluxes of keV electrons. For each of these components, the analysis model will include four elements: (a) an empirical model, (b) observational data, (c) the model error-covariance matrix, and (d) a physics based model checker/corrector. The checker/corrector component will ensure that the model is consistent with physical laws.