Space Weather: Initial Development of an Analysis Model of the Inner Magnetosphere

本项目将发展空间天气分析模型，用于编制空间天气图和空间天气预报。该分析模型将由地球同步、地球同步转移和极低地球（LEO）轨道上的航天器数据驱动。空间天气的三个组成部分将包括在分析模型中：(1)磁场，(2)辐射带（高能）粒子的通量，(3)keV电子的通量。对于每个组件，分析模型将包括四个元素：(a)经验模型，(b)观测数据，(c)模型误差协方差矩阵，以及(d)基于物理的模型检查/校正器。检查/校正组件将确保模型符合物理定律。

This project will develop ad space weather analysis model for use in the preparation of space weather maps and space weather forecasting. The analysis model will be driven by data from spacecraft in geosynchronous, geosynchronous-transfer and polar low-Earth (LEO) orbits. Three components of space weather will be included in the analysis model: (1) the magnetic field, (2) fluxes of radiation-belt (high energy) particles, and (3) fluxes of keV electrons. For each of these components, the analysis model will include four elements: (a) an empirical model, (b) observational data, (c) the model error-covariance matrix, and (d) a physics based model checker/corrector. The checker/corrector component will ensure that the model is consistent with physical laws.