Collaborative Proposal: SGER: Social Measures of the Katrina Aftermath

合作提案：SGER：卡特里娜飓风后果的社会措施

• 批准号: 0555934
• 负责人: David Banks
• 金额: $ 3.04万
• 依托单位: Duke University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2005
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2005-12-15 至 2006-09-30
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=0555934&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Collaborative; Proposal; SGER; Social; Measures

The proposed work will undertake a multistage cluster sample of household addresses in New Orleans, supplemented by a phone banks survey. The goal is to collect 500 respondents by May 2006. The survey questionnaire will ask about the decision to evacuate, survival experiences, demographic data, the kinds of needs that people had a different timepoints before, during, and after the hurricane. The survey has been designed by Edd Hauser, and will be piloted on refugees at UNC-Charlotte and Duke before used in the field. The first draft is under preliminary review by Duke Institutional Review Board, and will be modified according to their feedback. The first part of the analysis will summarize the survey data, and provide cross-tabulations that show how different survival experiences are associated with age, pet ownership, income, and so forth. This is standard statistical analysis, but will help identify which aspects played dominant roles at different phases of the emergency. The second part of the analysis will fit a social network model to the data, extending previous work on mathematical models for the kinds of help people need and from whom they get help. The nodes in the social network model will be people or agencies, and the edges in the network describe the kind of help that is required. The research will be conducted jointly by David Banks, Edd Hauser, and John Lefante (working with Maria Sirois). David Banks and John Lefante are in charge of the survey design and data analysis. Edd Hauser, head of the Regional Center for Homeland Security and Major Disaster Management, is in charge of questionnaire design. Maria Sirois is a graduate student in Biostatistics in the School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine at Tulane; she and John Lefante are in charge of data collection. Maria Sirois is a member of the National Guard, the Louisiana Search and Rescue Team, and a certified first-responder. The intellectual merit of the proposed research is twofold. First it will provide a statistical analysis of the factors affecting the survival experience of people in New Orleans before, during and after Katrina. Second, it will extend the social networks models applied in previous studies of disaster response by using the new class of latent space models and the data obtained from the Katrina event. The broader impact of the proposed research is that it will provide guidance and insight for future disaster relief efforts, and highlight the interactions between people and agencies that were most/least effective at various stages of the response.

拟议的工作将对新奥尔良的家庭地址进行多阶段集群抽样，并辅之以电话银行调查。目标是在2006年5月之前收集500名受访者。调查问卷将询问疏散决定、生存经历、人口统计数据，以及人们在飓风前、飓风期间和飓风后的不同时间点的需求类型。这项调查是由埃德·豪泽设计的，将在北卡罗来纳大学夏洛特分校和杜克大学的难民中试行，然后在现场使用。杜克大学机构审查委员会正在对初稿进行初步审查，并将根据他们的反馈进行修改。分析的第一部分将总结调查数据，并提供交叉表格，展示不同的生存经历与年龄、宠物饲养、收入等因素的关系。这是标准的统计分析，但将有助于确定哪些方面在紧急情况的不同阶段发挥了主导作用。分析的第二部分将使社交网络模型与数据相适应，扩展了之前关于人们需要什么类型的帮助以及他们从谁那里获得帮助的数学模型的工作。社交网络模型中的节点将是人或机构，而网络中的边描述了所需的帮助类型。这项研究将由大卫·班克斯、埃德·豪泽和约翰·莱凡特(与玛丽亚·西罗斯合作)共同进行。大卫·班克斯和约翰·莱凡特负责调查设计和数据分析。国土安全和重大灾难管理地区中心负责人埃德·豪泽负责调查问卷的设计。玛丽亚·西罗斯是杜兰大学公共卫生和热带医学院生物统计学专业的研究生，她和约翰·莱凡特负责数据收集。玛丽亚·西罗斯是路易斯安那州搜救队国民警卫队的一名成员，也是一名经过认证的急救员。这项拟议研究的学术价值是双重的。首先，它将对影响新奥尔良人在卡特里娜飓风之前、期间和之后的生存体验的因素进行统计分析。其次，利用新的潜在空间模型和卡特里娜飓风事件的数据，扩展了以往灾害应对研究中应用的社会网络模型。拟议研究的更广泛影响是，它将为未来的救灾工作提供指导和洞察力，并突出在应对的不同阶段最有效/最不有效的人与机构之间的互动。