International Project Office for the Analysis, Integration and Modeling of the Earth System

该项目将支持地球系统的分析、整合和建模，其基础是认识到理解地球系统需要一种跨学科的方法，将物理、化学和生物科学及其与社会和经济问题的相互作用结合起来。国际项目办公室（IPO）将支持地球系统分析、整合和建模项目（AIMES）：实现对人类扰动对生物地球化学循环的作用及其在改变过去、现在和未来耦合物理气候系统中的作用的更深入和更定量的科学理解；更好地描述和量化生物地球化学和气候系统之间的相互作用和反馈，人类活动和决策对这些系统的影响，以及全球环境变化对人类的影响。IPO将支持AIMES的活动，包括改进对人为痕量气体排放的预测，绘制过去人为环境变化的地图，以及整合气候和经济模型。IPO还将协助AIMES纳入气候建模、生态学、水文学、经济学、人类学、农业和林业等广泛领域的专业知识，以产生新的知识，培养新的跨学科科学家，最重要的是，更好地预测整个地球的环境变化。IPO还将支持AIMES的工作：考虑制定新的战略，为可能的政府间气候变化专门委员会（IPCC）第五次评估报告制定情景；与北欧亚地球科学伙伴关系倡议（NEESPI）合作，开展一项侧重于跨尺度整合的北部高纬度活动；发展应用地球系统建模的新重点，使全球变化研究议程与发展和政策界更直接相关；支持AIMES参与全球排放清单活动（GEIA）。

The project will support analysis, integration and modeling of the Earth system based on the recognition that understanding the Earth system requires an interdisciplinary approach to bring together physical, chemical and biological sciences and their interaction with societal and economic issues as well. The International Project Office (IPO) will support the project on Analysis, Integration and Modeling of the Earth System (AIMES) to: achieve a deeper and more quantitative scientific understanding of the role of human perturbations to the biogeochemical cycles and their role in altering the coupled physical climate system, in the past, present and future; and better describe and quantify interactions and feedbacks between biogeochemical and climate systems, the consequences of human activities and decisions for these systems, and implications of global environmental changes for humanity. The IPO will support AIMES activities to include activities to improve predictions of human-caused trace gas emissions, map past human-caused environmental changes, and integrate climate and economic modeling. The IPO will also assist AIMES to involve expertise in such wide-ranging areas as climate modeling, ecology, hydrology, economics, anthropology, agriculture and forestry in order to generate new knowledge, a new breed of interdisciplinary scientists, and, most important, better predictions of environmental changes across the Earth. The IPO will also support AIMES efforts: to consider development of new strategies for developing scenarios for a possible Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC); to collaborate with the Northern Eurasian Earth Science Partnership Initiative (NEESPI) to develop a northern high latitudes activity that focuses on integrating across scales; to develop a new focus on Applied Earth System Modeling to make the global change research agenda much more directly relevant to the development and policy communities; and to support AIMES involvement in the Global Emissions Inventory Activity (GEIA).