Collaborative Research: A Proposal for the Cosmic-Ray prOduced NUclide Systematics on Earth (CRONUS-Earth) Project

合作研究：地球上宇宙射线产生的核素系统学（CRONUS-Earth）项目的提案

• 批准号: 0944079
• 负责人: Robert Reedy
• 金额: $ 3.48万
• 依托单位: Planetary Science Institute
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Continuing Grant
• 财政年份: 2009
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2009-05-14 至 2012-02-29
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=0944079&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Collaborative; Research; Proposal; Cosmic; Ray

The central thesis to this project is that household decision making under uncertainty functions within a complex system of human-environment interactions with many socio-economic, policy, and institutional forces also playing roles. Two workshops will be conducted that will bring together a number of social scientists, ecologists, modelers, and others working with climate forecasts and remote sensing to better understand what is known across several sites globally about decision making under uncertainty. These workshops will form the basis for one or more synthesis papers in peer-reviewed publications. The results of these workshops also will serve as the basis for the development of a general approach for analyzing decision making within the context of environmental and socio-economic factors. Project leaders will develop an integrative research plan to 1) synthesize what is known about household patterns and processes of decision making associated with climate variability from sites around the world including North America, Amazonia, Africa, and Central Asia; 2) collect data where needed for the synthesis; 3) develop or adapt and link socio-economic agent-based household models to ecosystem models to test hypotheses that relate climate variability and climate change to decision making and the impacts and consequences they have on people and ecosystems, and; 4) develop a series of workshops, seminars, and training sessions for students, researchers, and decision makers. Research that focuses on household and community behavior is important because it is at that level where fundamental decisions are made regarding climate variability. It is also the place where climate variability and change is felt most directly and severely and where people are most vulnerable to climate perturbations. The project will refine current knowledge about household decision making, uncertainty, and change. The integrative plans will outline the means and methods necessary to translate this knowledge into improved decision making. Future work building on this plan will advance methodological frontiers by coupling agent-based modeling, ecological models, GIS, and remote sensing to develop scenarios of decision-making under climate variability and change. Tools will be developed and means to disseminate the information to the many stakeholders at many levels, both nationally and internationally. The results will be valuable for both households and decision makers at many levels of social organization and institutions to enhance the sustainability of human communities everywhere. This developmental award was supported as part of the Fiscal Year 2003 Human and Social Dynamics priority area special competition on Decision Making Under Uncertainty (DMUU).

该项目的中心论点是，不确定性下的家庭决策在人类与环境相互作用的复杂系统中发挥作用，许多社会经济、政策和制度力量也在发挥作用。将举办两个研讨会，汇集一些社会科学家、生态学家、建模师和其他从事气候预测和遥感工作的人，以更好地了解全球几个地点在不确定情况下的决策。这些研讨会将成为同行评议出版物中一篇或多篇综合论文的基础。这些讲习班的成果也将作为制定在环境和社会经济因素范围内分析决策的一般办法的基础。项目负责人将制定一个综合研究计划，1)综合来自世界各地（包括北美、亚马逊、非洲和中亚）的关于家庭模式和决策过程与气候变化相关的已知信息；2)收集合成所需的数据；3)开发或调整并将基于社会经济主体的家庭模型与生态系统模型联系起来，以检验将气候变率和气候变化与决策及其对人类和生态系统的影响和后果联系起来的假设；4)为学生、研究人员和决策者举办一系列讲习班、研讨会和培训课程。以家庭和社区行为为重点的研究很重要，因为在这一层面上对气候变化作出基本决定。它也是最直接、最严重地感受到气候变化和变化的地方，也是人们最容易受到气候扰动的地方。该项目将完善目前关于家庭决策、不确定性和变化的知识。综合计划将概述将这种知识转化为改进决策所必需的手段和方法。基于该计划的未来工作将通过耦合基于agent的建模、生态模型、GIS和遥感来开发气候变率和变化下的决策情景，从而推进方法学前沿。将开发工具和手段，在国家和国际各级向许多利益攸关方传播信息。其结果将对家庭和社会组织和机构的许多层次的决策者都有价值，以加强各地人类社区的可持续性。该发展奖是2003财政年度人类和社会动态优先领域不确定决策特别竞赛的一部分。